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Janus Henderson Insights: A balanced approach for more cautious investors

Head of U.S. Fixed Income Greg Wilensky and Portfolio Manager Jeremiah Buckley discuss how balanced strategies can help investors stay true to their long-term objectives by providing a less volatile option to an all-equity portfolio.

Greg Wilensky is Head of US Fixed Income and Head of Core Plus at Janus Henderson Investors, positions he has held since 2020 and 2024, respectively. Additionally, he is a Portfolio Manager. Prior to joining the firm, Greg served as senior vice president, director of the US multi-sector fixed income team and held several director and portfolio manager positions that spanned short duration, inflation-protected fixed income, securitised assets, and multi-asset strategies at AllianceBernstein from 1996 to 2019. Prior to that, he was a treasury manager – corporate finance at AT&T Corp. from 1993 to 1996.

Greg received his Bachelor of Science degree in business administration from Washington University, graduating magna cum laude. He also earned an MBA with high honours from the University of Chicago. Greg holds the Chartered Financial Analyst designation and has 32 years of financial industry experience.

Jeremiah Buckley is a Portfolio Manager at Janus Henderson Investors. Jeremiah joined Janus in 1998 as a research analyst covering the consumer, industrials, financials, media, software, and telecommunications sectors. He was Janus’ consumer sector lead for 10 years before transitioning to full-time portfolio management.

Jeremiah earned his Bachelor of Arts degree in economics from Dartmouth College, graduating Phi Beta Kappa. While there, he received the Class of ’39 scholarship for academic and athletic achievement and the Class of ’48 male scholar-athlete of the year award. He was also selected for the 1998 Academic All-Ivy Hockey Team and served as the men’s hockey captain from 1997 to 1998. Jeremiah holds the Chartered Financial Analyst designation and has 27 years of financial industry experience.

Investors have fled to the perceived security of cash at various points throughout past market cycles for myriad reasons. This flight to safety is as inevitable as the bouts of volatility that often precipitate it.

In 2023 and 2024, investors were still feeling the pain of negative returns in both equities and fixed income in 2022. That experience, plus the fact that cash was finally providing a good yield following the Federal Reserve’s rate increase, lured many investors to the sidelines. With savings accounts, money markets, and certificates of deposit paying relatively attractive yields with minimal risk after a decade-plus of near-zero rates, some investors felt they weren’t sacrificing much to be in a risk-off stance.

In 2025, ongoing uncertainty around tariffs, inflation, geopolitical tensions, and the outlook for the global economy has caused many investors to continue to seek solace in cash or adopt a “wait-and-see” approach versus redeploying cash.

Exhibit 1: U.S. money market funds AUM at an all-time high

Source: Office of Financial Research, Money Market fund Monitor. Data presented are OFR-derived aggregates on an ultimate parent basis of the original source data. Updated 16 September 2025 with data through 31 August 2025.

However, this comes at an opportunity cost, particularly with equity markets hitting new record highs in September.

Investors will always need to have a certain amount of cash available for short-term savings or liquidity needs, regardless of what happens in markets. But history shows that using cash as a long-term investment vehicle can be damaging to wealth creation.

Exhibit 2: In 2023, money on the sidelines experienced a massive opportunity cost …Exhibit 2: In 2023, money on the sidelines experienced a massive opportunity cost …

… and in 2024, it happened again.  

Source: Janus Henderson Investors. Returns for calendar years 2023 and 2024. Total return indices in USD.
“Cash” = FTSE 3-month Treasury Bills, “U.S. aggregate” = Bloomberg US Aggregate Bond Index, “Global aggregate” = Bloomberg Global Aggregate Bond Index, “U.S. corporates” = Bloomberg U.S. Corporate Investment Grade Bond Index, “global corporates” = Bloomberg Global Aggregate Corporate Bond Index, “U.S. high yield” = Bloomberg U.S. High Yield Corporate Bond Index, “Global high yield” = ICE BofA Global High Yield Constrained Index USD Hedged, “U.S. equities” = S&P 500 Index, “Global equities” = MSCI World, “Global balanced” = 60% MSCI World, 40% Bloomberg Global Aggregate Bond Index, “U.S. balanced” = 60% S&P 5000 Index, 40% Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Index.
Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance.

Déjà vu all over again?

2025 is shaping up to be another “déjà vu” moment for investors still sitting in cash. And there is little sign of that trend reversing, especially as economic uncertainty appears set to continue.

Not helping matters is the fact that the post-Liberation Day sell-off in April is still fresh in investors’ minds. That period of extreme volatility – and the multiple shock waves of market turbulence that followed – likely remains a significant source of reluctance to re-enter markets, despite the subsequent rally virtually retracing those losses in a matter of days. Indeed, April’s sell-off is a prime example of how stocks have often gone on to stage significant moves to the upside following swift drawdowns, and why riding out the inevitable fluctuations has historically paid off.

Exhibit 3: Year-to-date opportunity cost of sitting in cashSource: Janus Henderson Investors. Year-to-date total returns through 30 September 2025 in USD.

Source: Janus Henderson Investors. Year-to-date total returns through 30 September 2025 in USD. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance.

A more balanced approach

While market volatility and economic uncertainty are unsettling, there are investment strategies that can help investors mitigate downside risk while participating in upside gains. In fact, one well-known, time-tested strategy is specifically designed for that purpose: The 60/40, or balanced strategy, which typically represents a mix of 60% equities and 40% high-quality fixed income.

The 60/40 mix has long been synonymous with prudent, risk-adjusted investing by providing a portfolio allocation with historically less downside risk than an all-equity portfolio that instills confidence in maintaining market exposure through volatile conditions. Historically, the blended approach has allowed investors to enjoy solid returns with less stomach-churning volatility than a 100% equity portfolio.

Equities
Despite near-term volatility, equities remain a key component of building long-term wealth. The primary role of the equity allocation in a balanced strategy is to provide capital appreciation, which is why it’s crucial that this part of the portfolio be positioned to grow, even amid tougher economic conditions.

Fixed income
A core tenet of a balanced strategy is that reducing the impact of drawdowns matters significantly to long-term performance. For this reason, the fixed income allocation, needs to perform two duties – maximizing income and limiting drawdowns during periods of stock market stress.

Given the complexities of achieving these duties in tandem, options that employ active approaches to both equities and fixed income, in combination with the ability to dynamically adjust the equity-to-bonds mix may better position investors to weather changing market conditions.

More volatility to come? A balanced strategy may ease re-entry into markets

Markets have been wrought with volatility in 2025, and it is likely to persist. But while the allure of cash in uncertain times is understandable, staying on the sidelines has come at a significant opportunity cost amid strong performance in risk assets in 2023, 2024, and 2025 year to date.

We think balanced strategies may help reverse this trend by providing a lower-volatility option to an all-equity portfolio to help investors re-enter markets. These strategies seek to deliver strong returns during positive market environments while limiting drawdowns during equity market selloffs, helping more cautious investors combat economic- or volatility-related uncertainties while still capitalizing on market gains.

Important information

Actively managed investment portfolios are subject to the risk that the investment strategies and research process employed may fail to produce the intended results. Accordingly, a portfolio may underperform its benchmark index or other investment products with similar investment objectives.

Equity securities are subject to risks including market risk. Returns will fluctuate in response to issuer, political and economic developments.

Fixed income securities are subject to interest rate, inflation, credit and default risk. The bond market is volatile. As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. The return of principal is not guaranteed, and prices may decline if an issuer fails to make timely payments or its credit strength weakens.Diversification neither assures a profit nor eliminates the risk of experiencing investment losses.


Janus Henderson Key risks & Disclaimers:

The views presented are as of the date published. They are for information purposes only and should not be used or construed as investment, legal or tax advice or as an offer to sell, a solicitation of an offer to buy, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security, investment strategy or market sector. Nothing in this material shall be deemed to be a direct or indirect provision of investment management services specific to any client requirements. Opinions and examples are meant as an illustration of broader themes, are not an indication of trading intent, are subject to change and may not reflect the views of others in the organisation. It is not intended to indicate or imply that any illustration/example mentioned is now or was ever held in any portfolio. No forecasts can be guaranteed and there is no guarantee that the information supplied is complete or timely, nor are there any warranties with regard to the results obtained from its use. Janus Henderson Investors is the source of data unless otherwise indicated, and has reasonable belief to rely on information and data sourced from third parties. Past performance does not predict future returns. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal and fluctuation of value.

Janus Henderson Investors is the name under which investment products and services are provided by the entities identified in the following jurisdictions in Europeby Janus Henderson Investors International Limited (reg no. 3594615), Janus Henderson Investors UK  Limited (reg. no. 906355), Janus Henderson Fund Management UK Limited (reg. no. 2678531), (each registered in England and  Wales at 201 Bishopsgate, London EC2M 3AE and regulated by the Financial  Conduct Authority), Tabula Investment Management Limited (reg. no. 11286661 at 10 Norwich Street, London, United Kingdom, EC4A 1BD and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority) and Janus Henderson Investors Europe S.A. (reg no. B22848 at 78, Avenue de la Liberté, L-1930 Luxembourg, Luxembourg and regulated by the Commission de Surveillance du Secteur Financier).

 

MeDirect Disclaimers:

This information has been accurately reproduced, as received from Janus Henderson Investors. No information has been omitted which would render the reproduced information inaccurate or misleading. This information is being distributed by MeDirect Bank (Malta) plc to its customers. The information contained in this document is for general information purposes only and is not intended to provide legal or other professional advice nor does it commit MeDirect Bank (Malta) plc to any obligation whatsoever. The information available in this document is not intended to be a suggestion, recommendation or solicitation to buy, hold or sell, any securities and is not guaranteed as to accuracy or completeness.

The financial instruments discussed in the document may not be suitable for all investors and investors must make their own informed decisions and seek their own advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in financial instruments or implementing strategies discussed herein.

If you invest in this product you may lose some or all of the money you invest. The value of your investment may go down as well as up. A commission or sales fee may be charged at the time of the initial purchase for an investment. Any income you get from this investment may go down as well as up. This product may be affected by changes in currency exchange rate movements thereby affecting your investment return therefrom. The performance figures quoted refer to the past and past performance is not a guarantee of future performance or a reliable guide to future performance. Any decision to invest in a mutual fund should always be based upon the details contained in the Prospectus and Key Information Document (KID), which may be obtained from MeDirect Bank (Malta) plc.

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