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BlackRock Commentary: Inflation – beyond near-term volatility

Inflation looks set to overshoot the Fed’s target as BlackRock expected. Yet BlackRock see uncertainties around the near-term persistence of the overshoot as the restart leads to unusual supply and demand dynamics. BlackRock have closed their tactical overweight in inflation-linked bonds as inflation expectations have risen sharply but favoured them strategically as they see medium-term inflation still underpriced.

Notes from the Trading Desk – Franklin Templeton

Global equities traded marginally lower last week, with much of the focus at a company level as first quarter (Q1) earnings season progresses. Despite strong earnings and record beats, there was lackluster price action, with significant divergence in each region.

BlackRock Commentary: Why we remain pro-risk

A powerful economic restart is underway in the U.S. – with Europe and emerging markets (EMs) set to follow. At the same time BlackRock’s new nominal theme has been playing out, with a hefty jump in inflation expectations but a more muted rise in nominal yields. Against this backdrop, BlackRock reiterate their pro-risk stance and refine our tactical views in response to adjustments in market pricing and valuations.

Notes from the Trading Desk – Franklin Templeton

Equities globally were lacklustre last week, with Europe underperforming amid a position-driven selloff. Outside of the obvious continuing focus on the pandemic and vaccine rollouts, there was little in the way of broad market themes, which in turn saw focus shifting to technical factors and company specifics amidst the first-quarter earnings season.

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BlackRock Commentary: Why we like emerging market assets

Blackrock see the economic restart and greater stability in U.S. government bond yields – as indicated by their new nominal theme – supporting emerging market assets over coming months. These valuations appear relatively attractive in a world of low yields after a choppy start to the year. Risks to Blackrock’s view include potential policy tightening and sluggish vaccine rollouts in some EMs.

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