Market Updates

 

BlackRock Commentary: Market view too rosy – for now

BlackRock sees that there are hopes of a soft economic landing, plummeting inflation and interest rate cuts since markets have leapt ahead this year, driven by China’s reopening, falling energy prices and slowing inflation.

Notes from the Trading Desk – Franklin Templeton

Last week was choppy as investors digested central-banker commentary, macro data and corporate earnings. Of note, a number of Federal Reserve speakers stuck to their hawkish narrative and some weak US macro data raised doubts over a “soft landing” for the US economy.

Notes from the Trading Desk

Notes from the Trading Desk – Franklin Templeton

The new market consensus for Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hikes is for 50 basis points (bps) to be added in the first half of 2023, followed by 200 bps of cuts over the following 18 months. It remains to be seen whether the market will eventually give in and follow the hawkish central bank tones, or whether the central banks will pivot to a more dovish stance than they have adopted until now.

BlackRock Commentary: Why 2023 will be different

BlackRock sees three shifts shaping 2023. DM economies facing recession, DM central banks will halt rate hikes when economic damage is clearer, and China’s reopening and domestic spending will drive global growth as DM recessions hit.

Notes from the Trading Desk – Franklin Templeton

2022 was a crazy year for global financial markets amidst escalating geopolitical risk, record levels of inflation and the highest central bank hiking cycle ever witnessed. Inflation data rose to 40-year highs and, globally, the central banks of the top ten most-traded currencies delivered 2,700 basis points worth of tightening to fight it.

Weekly Market Update

Notes from the Trading Desk – Franklin Templeton

Unsurprisingly, it looks like an extremely quiet week ahead. No meaningful corporate events are scheduled this week and the macro calendar is also light, with the Eurozone Consumer Confidence reading on Tuesday and UK GDP Thursday the highlights

Weekly Market Update

Notes from the Trading Desk – Franklin Templeton

The week ahead has the potential to set the tone for markets into year-end and into the first quarter of 2023. Central bank meetings throughout the week include the Federal Reserve (Fed), European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of England (BoE) and Swiss National Bank (SMB). In addition, key inflation data comes out in several countries, including the United States.

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