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BlackRock Commentary: Ukraine war to cut growth, up inflation

The war in Ukraine is causing a major supply shock layered onto an existing one, and we see it resulting in higher inflation and lower growth, especially in the euro area. This puts central banks in a bind: Trying to contain inflation will be more costly, and they can’t cushion the growth shock.

Notes from the Trading Desk – Franklin Templeton

Events in Ukraine will continue to be a key driver for investor sentiment, with markets likely to see-saw on any meaningful news. It is a busy week for central banks too, with the Fed policy meeting on Wednesday, Bank of England on Thursday and Bank of Japan on Friday.

energy markets

Franklin Templeton Insights: Energy Markets in View

Consumers were feeling the pinch of higher energy prices even before Russia invaded Ukraine. Energy prices have surged to multi-year or record highs amid the war, and many are wondering if they still have further to go.

BlackRock Commentary: Why we stay underweight bonds

Government bonds have shown some traditional diversification properties since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine last month. Yet our work shows that government bonds historically offer less diversification during periods of supply-driven inflation.

Notes from the Trading Desk – Franklin Templeton

Soaring commodity prices and the commensurate inflationary impact is alarming investors. The fear is that European consumer confidence and spending will be hit, and we find ourselves in a stagflation environment, with stagnating economic growth (or recession) and soaring inflation.

geopolitical risk

Morningstar Views: How to Handle Geopolitical Risk

As western governments advise citizens to leave Ukraine, we consider how investors can ride out geopolitical events involving conflict. Dan Kemp, Morningstar Investment Management global chief investment officer, says there are four ways investors typically handle geopolitical risks. Some of them are wiser than others.

russia and ukraine investment research

Morningstar Views: Russia & Ukraine: Investment Research Views

The rapid escalation between Russia and Ukraine has dramatically shifted investor sentiment. We are witnessing a meaningful setback in key financial markets, prompting volatility and negative speculation. This is normal amid uncertainty, but it is worth stepping back to understand the fundamentals of the situation.

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