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BlackRock Commentary: Inflation - beyond near-term volatility

Inflation looks set to overshoot the Fed’s target as BlackRock expected. Yet BlackRock see uncertainties around the near-term persistence of the overshoot as the restart leads to unusual supply and demand dynamics. BlackRock have closed their tactical overweight in inflation-linked bonds as inflation expectations have risen sharply but favoured them strategically as they see medium-term inflation still underpriced.

Notes from the Trading Desk - Franklin Templeton

Global equities traded marginally lower last week, with much of the focus at a company level as first quarter (Q1) earnings season progresses. Despite strong earnings and record beats, there was lackluster price action, with significant divergence in each region.

BlackRock Commentary: Why we remain pro-risk

A powerful economic restart is underway in the U.S. – with Europe and emerging markets (EMs) set to follow. At the same time BlackRock's new nominal theme has been playing out, with a hefty jump in inflation expectations but a more muted rise in nominal yields. Against this backdrop, BlackRock reiterate their pro-risk stance and refine our tactical views in response to adjustments in market pricing and valuations.

Notes from the Trading Desk - Franklin Templeton

Equities globally were lackluster last week, with Europe underperforming amid a position-driven selloff. Outside of the obvious continuing focus on the pandemic and vaccine rollouts, there was little in the way of broad market themes, which in turn saw focus shifting to technical factors and company specifics amidst the first-quarter earnings season.

BlackRock Commentary: Why we like emerging market assets

Blackrock see the economic restart and greater stability in U.S. government bond yields - as indicated by their new nominal theme - supporting emerging market assets over coming months. These valuations appear relatively attractive in a world of low yields after a choppy start to the year. Risks to Blackrock's view include potential policy tightening and sluggish vaccine rollouts in some EMs.

Notes from the Trading Desk - Franklin Templeton

The spread of COVID-19 infections in continental Europe and how governments are managing it continues to contribute heavily to the market push and pull we've seen in recent weeks and months.

BlackRock Commentary: Commodities Rewired

Oil and industrial metals have rallied since late-2020 on expectations for a swift economic restart, sparking talk of a new commodity “supercycle.” BlackRock sees a more nuanced outlook – with a divergence across different commodities. The lift for oil from the economic restart is likely to be transitory, while some metals may benefit from structural trends such as the “green” transition for years to come, in their view.

Notes from the Trading Desk - Franklin Templeton

Equities in the United States and Europe continued their grind higher in a holiday-shortened week, which led to lighter volumes and newflow last week. There were concerns over rising COVID-19 cases in a number of countries.

BlackRock Commentary: Sustainable investing - it’s a long game

The powerful economic restart has led to a rally in the traditional energy sector. This has raised concerns that sustainable assets may face pressure after stellar performance in 2020. BlackRock view such a short-term focus as misguided. The power of the near-term restart should not be confused with the slow transition to sustainability that BlackRock see driving long-term returns.

BlackRock Commentary: Why we still like technology stocks

The recent bond yield spike has been blamed for pressuring tech stocks as they are seen as vulnerable to rising rates. BlackRock believe this view is too simplistic: tech is a diverse sector and the driver of higher yields matters more than the rise itself. Their new nominal theme implies central banks will be slower to raise rates to curb inflation than in the past, supporting their pro-risk stance and preference for tech.

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