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BlackRock Commentary: Debt ceiling spat takes a breather

We still see a low risk of technical default by the U.S. and expect the debt ceiling debacle to ultimately resolve. The broadening economic restart keeps us tactically pro-risk, yet we see a narrowing path for risk assets to push higher and markets more prone to temporary pullbacks.

Notes from the Trading Desk - Franklin Templeton

Investor focus has been on inflationary pressures and the impact on bond markets as many government bond yields continue to widen. Intertwined with these issues is how central banks react and adapt to this environment.

BlackRock Commentary: Putting the yield spike in perspective

The recent jump in U.S. Treasury yields has spooked investors. Not all yield rises are the same. Yields driven up by rising policy rate expectations may harm equity valuations.

BlackRock Commentary: Why we stay pro-risk

Markets have been jittery amid focus on China’s regulatory clampdown and the prospect of the Federal Reserve tapering its asset purchases. BlackRock believe the path for further gains in risk assets has narrowed after an extended run higher, warranting a selective approach, but they reaffirm their tactical pro-risk stance.

Notes from the Trading Desk - Franklin Templeton

It was encouraging to see equity markets stabilise last week, but as we move towards the fourth quarter, it does feel like investor sentiment is somewhat brittle. We did see retail investors stepping in and 'buying the dip' last week. This remains an important market dynamic to watch.

BlackRock Commentary: Debt ceiling showdown redux

The U.S. needs to soon raise a self-imposed federal debt limit, or the “debt ceiling”, to avoid a debt default. BlackRock don’t see fundamental risks from the debt ceiling showdown – with a low risk of technical default and limited chance of a temporary government shutdown.

Notes from the Trading Desk - Franklin Templeton

Fears of peak growth and central bank hawkishness as well as recent tax hikes to pay for the impact of COVID-19 stimulus measures have all contributed to recent market bearishness.

BlackRock Commentary: The importance of getting granular

Investors are grappling with an unusually wide range of potential economic outcomes beyond the post-pandemic restart, reflected in frequent shifts in equity market leadership and volatile bond yields.

Notes from the Trading Desk - Franklin Templeton

Last week, markets appeared to be on the lookout for negatives. Whilst there wasn’t one overarching driver behind the weakness, a number of factors contributed.

BlackRock Commentary: Spotlight on Europe

Europe is in the spotlight this month, with a key European Central Bank (ECB) meeting and a pivotal German election that could have significant medium-term implications for the fiscal stance of Europe’s largest economy.

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