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Notes from the Trading Desk - Franklin Templeton

The primary focus for investors last week was the Fed meeting and the market impact thereafter. As expected, the Fed kept rates unchanged, but did give new guidance for their expected path of rate hikes (the 'dot plot') and revised their inflation expectations.

Notes from the Trading Desk - Franklin Templeton

Given the presence of some temporary factors driving inflation data, the markets are telling us investors are happy to run with the Federal Reserve's narrative that inflationary pressures are transitory. We see this view reflected across asset classes.

Notes from the Trading Desk - Franklin Templeton

Improving macro data and continuously dovish central banks have kept equity markets well supported. Given the push and pull, the market continues to react to specific headlines and announcements, rather than the reopening trade as a general theme.

Notes from the Trading Desk - Franklin Templeton

The debate around rising inflation and the potential impact on central bank policy has been the key driver for financial markets of late, and last week was no exception.

Notes from the Trading Desk - Franklin Templeton

Last week was unsteady for equity markets with much of the focus on inflation data our of the United States and China. A further easing of restrictions in parts of the UK and Europe will help build the recovery.

Notes from the Trading Desk - Franklin Templeton

Global equities traded marginally lower last week, with much of the focus at a company level as first quarter (Q1) earnings season progresses. Despite strong earnings and record beats, there was lackluster price action, with significant divergence in each region.

Notes from the Trading Desk - Franklin Templeton

Equities globally were lackluster last week, with Europe underperforming amid a position-driven selloff. Outside of the obvious continuing focus on the pandemic and vaccine rollouts, there was little in the way of broad market themes, which in turn saw focus shifting to technical factors and company specifics amidst the first-quarter earnings season.

Notes from the Trading Desk - Franklin Templeton

The spread of COVID-19 infections in continental Europe and how governments are managing it continues to contribute heavily to the market push and pull we've seen in recent weeks and months.

Notes from the Trading Desk - Franklin Templeton

Equities in the United States and Europe continued their grind higher in a holiday-shortened week, which led to lighter volumes and newflow last week. There were concerns over rising COVID-19 cases in a number of countries.

Notes from the Trading Desk - Franklin Templeton

The COVID-19 situation in Europe remains precariously balanced, which weighed on reopening hopes. The grounded tanker in the Suez Canal also continues to attract attention, with media reports suggesting nearly 200 ships carrying US$10 billion of goods were stalled as a result of the blockage.

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