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Markets turn to a packed week of earnings, inflation data, PMI releases, and the Jackson Hole Symposium—highlighted by Fed Chair Powell’s keynote—after last week’s mixed US inflation signals, resilient retail sales, rising yields, and weak Chinese data underscored ongoing uncertainty

Mega forces are driving an uncertain economic transformation, prompting a shift from single-base forecasts to scenario-based investing, with private markets seen as a core allocation in all outcomes.

Market sentiment this week hinges on US-China trade developments, key inflation and retail sales data, and major central bank signals, following a week marked by dovish Fed comments, mixed earnings, falling oil prices, and contrasting economic signals from the US, UK, and China.

Risk assets are caught between strong U.S. corporate earnings driven by AI and the growth-dampening, inflationary impact of tariffs, with early signs suggesting both consumers and companies will share the cost—yet U.S. corporate resilience supports staying overweight AI and U.S. equities.

Markets kicked off a data-heavy week amid lingering trade uncertainty and mixed US economic signals, with central bank updates, softening global PMIs, and dovish Fed dissent shaping a cautious macro outlook.

New U.S. legislation like the Genius Act is reinforcing stablecoins as a future payment method, supporting dollar dominance globally, while bitcoin remains a separate return driver among the five key mega forces shaping markets.

A new US-EU trade deal imposes 15% tariffs on most EU exports while boosting American energy sales and investment, as markets brace for a pivotal week with key Fed decisions, Big Tech earnings, and China’s revived austerity campaign weighing on domestic consumption.